Steel & Steam Probabilities (V3/NE)
Overall
By Ordered Region
Region Probabilities
REGION
NAME
OUTCOMES
PCT
MA
Massachusetts
792
15.28%
PQ
Québec
720
13.89%
ME
Maine
648
12.50%
NY
New York
648
12.50%
CT
Connecticut
576
11.11%
CM
Canadian Maritimes
576
11.11%
NH
New Hampshire
504
9.72%
RI
Rhode Island
432
8.33%
VT
Vermont
288
5.56%
Region Probabilities
REGION
NAME
OUTCOMES
PCT
MA
Massachusetts
792
15.28%
CT
Connecticut
576
11.11%
RI
Rhode Island
432
8.33%
VT
Vermont
288
5.56%
NH
New Hampshire
504
9.72%
ME
Maine
648
12.50%
PQ
Québec
720
13.89%
CM
Canadian Maritimes
576
11.11%
NY
New York
648
12.50%
City Probabilities
CITY
REGION
OUTCOMES
PCT
New York
NY
270
5.21%
Boston
MA
264
5.09%
Montréal
PQ
250
4.82%
Woonsocket
RI
240
4.63%
Providence
RI
192
3.70%
Portland
ME
180
3.47%
Québec City
PQ
180
3.47%
Halifax
CM
160
3.09%
Manchester
NH
154
2.97%
Albany
NY
153
2.95%
New Haven
CT
144
2.78%
Bangor
ME
144
2.78%
Poughkeepsie
NY
135
2.60%
Burlington
VT
132
2.55%
Bridgeport
CT
128
2.47%
Springfield
MA
121
2.33%
Moncton
CM
120
2.31%
Hartford
CT
112
2.16%
Portsmouth
NH
112
2.16%
Saint John
CM
96
1.85%
Trois-Rivières
PQ
90
1.74%
Johnsonville
NY
90
1.74%
Lowell
MA
88
1.70%
Nashua
NH
84
1.62%
New London
CT
80
1.54%
Worcester
MA
77
1.49%
Yarmouth
CM
72
1.39%
Rivière du Loup
PQ
70
1.35%
Keene
NH
70
1.35%
Lawrence
MA
66
1.27%
Waterville
ME
63
1.22%
Bellows Falls
VT
56
1.08%
Fall River
MA
55
1.06%
Brunswick
ME
54
1.04%
Eastport
ME
54
1.04%
Searsport
ME
54
1.04%
Rutland
VT
52
1.00%
Lac-Mégantic
PQ
50
0.96%
Waterbury
CT
48
0.93%
Wells River
VT
48
0.93%
Ayer
MA
44
0.85%
Claremont
NH
42
0.81%
Groveton
NH
42
0.81%
Chicoutimi
PQ
40
0.77%
Sherbrooke
PQ
40
0.77%
Campbellton
CM
40
0.77%
Newcastle
CM
40
0.77%
Calais
ME
36
0.69%
Farmington
ME
36
0.69%
Pittsfield
MA
33
0.64%
South Norwalk
CT
32
0.62%
Willimantic
CT
32
0.62%
Katahdin Iron Works
ME
27
0.52%
Fredericton
CM
24
0.46%
Saint-Léonard
CM
24
0.46%
Greenfield
MA
22
0.42%
Provincetown
MA
22
0.42%
City Probabilities (By Region)
CITY
REGION
OUTCOMES
PCT
Boston
MA
264
5.09%
Springfield
MA
121
2.33%
Lowell
MA
88
1.70%
Worcester
MA
77
1.49%
Lawrence
MA
66
1.27%
Fall River
MA
55
1.06%
Ayer
MA
44
0.85%
Pittsfield
MA
33
0.64%
Greenfield
MA
22
0.42%
Provincetown
MA
22
0.42%
New Haven
CT
144
2.78%
Bridgeport
CT
128
2.47%
Hartford
CT
112
2.16%
New London
CT
80
1.54%
Waterbury
CT
48
0.93%
South Norwalk
CT
32
0.62%
Willimantic
CT
32
0.62%
Woonsocket
RI
240
4.63%
Providence
RI
192
3.70%
Burlington
VT
132
2.55%
Bellows Falls
VT
56
1.08%
Rutland
VT
52
1.00%
Wells River
VT
48
0.93%
Manchester
NH
154
2.97%
Portsmouth
NH
112
2.16%
Nashua
NH
84
1.62%
Keene
NH
70
1.35%
Claremont
NH
42
0.81%
Groveton
NH
42
0.81%
Portland
ME
180
3.47%
Bangor
ME
144
2.78%
Waterville
ME
63
1.22%
Brunswick
ME
54
1.04%
Eastport
ME
54
1.04%
Searsport
ME
54
1.04%
Calais
ME
36
0.69%
Farmington
ME
36
0.69%
Katahdin Iron Works
ME
27
0.52%
Montréal
PQ
250
4.82%
Québec City
PQ
180
3.47%
Trois-Rivières
PQ
90
1.74%
Rivière du Loup
PQ
70
1.35%
Lac-Mégantic
PQ
50
0.96%
Chicoutimi
PQ
40
0.77%
Sherbrooke
PQ
40
0.77%
Halifax
CM
160
3.09%
Moncton
CM
120
2.31%
Saint John
CM
96
1.85%
Yarmouth
CM
72
1.39%
Campbellton
CM
40
0.77%
Newcastle
CM
40
0.77%
Fredericton
CM
24
0.46%
Saint-Léonard
CM
24
0.46%
New York
NY
270
5.21%
Albany
NY
153
2.95%
Poughkeepsie
NY
135
2.60%
Johnsonville
NY
90
1.74%